The Giants will win the Super Bowl

If I were a betting man, and I’m not, I’d bet the house on the Giants beating the spread which currently has them 3 point underdogs versus the Patriots.  In fact, I’m very confident that they will win the Super Bowl.  For the life of me, I can’t figure out how the Patriots are favored.  Okay, I can.  Tom Brady.

Brady is a great great quarterback.  Quite possibly, he is the dominant 21st century pro football player – although Ray Lewis devotees certainly have an argument.  But I’m not even sure he’s better than Eli Manning right now and Manning has more weapons and a better defense.

Bill Belichick is a brilliant coach but is he better than Tom Coughlin.  Maybe a little bit.  Belichick’s resume is more impressive.  Full disclosure, Belichick and I attended the same university and I met him once and liked him.  But, Coughlin is a great coach too and has proven he can beat Belichick teams as he did in the 2008 Super Bowl and earlier this season in New England.

Brady has remarkable receivers.  Tight end Rob Gronkowski may be the NFL player of the year and Wes Welker is tremendous.  But, Gronkowski’s nicked up and Manning has the best wide receiving corps in the NFL to throw to with Hakeem Nicks, the incomparable Victor Cruz, and a great 3rd down receiver Mario Manningham to boot.  The Giants’ pass catchers have the edge.

Neither team runs the ball real well but isn’t it obvious that Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs are better than Danny Woodhead, Aaron Hernandez, and Julian Edelman?

Both teams have very solid offensive lines.  I’ll call them even.

So, the Giants sure seem to have the edge on offense.  On defense, it’s obvious Big Blue is better.  Their front four can get pressure without taking any linebackers out of coverage.  Their linebackers are solid and the defensive backs are playing very well right now.

The Patriots simply are not a good defensive team.  They were 31st in the NFL in terms of yards given up and although they played better in the playoffs, the offenses that they faced, Denver and Baltimore, are not nearly as dynamic as the Giants.

I’m not a big believer in the power of special teams to make up for an inferior offense and defense and in this one, the Giants have the edge any way. I’ll call the kickers even.  The Giants have the more reliable punter and their coverage has been spectacular.

The Giants should win by a touchdown.

This entry was posted in Hal's Commentary. Bookmark the permalink.

5 Responses to The Giants will win the Super Bowl

  1. pdbird says:

    your prediction will prove once and for all why you are not an analisyt on ESPN. With 2 weeks to prep,I will take Tom Brady and the pats by 10……Signed Redskins fan.

  2. Ken says:

    Why the Giants? New York bias!! They barely made it into the playoffs and only got by the 49ers due to the Niners careless punt returner.
    Why does the media consistently favor the New York teams? Because of market share, and NY being the number #1 market, it is about revenue, and necessarily who is the better team.
    Put your money on Tom Brady & The Patriots… he is a winner, and I don’t think Giselle would argue with that!

  3. Now that we’ve heard from “The Brady Bunch”,I just want to remind you of an old Three Dog Night song “Eli’s Comin'”. He’s playing the best of his career and the Giants defense will have Brady confused. Go Giants!

  4. pdbird says:

    Giant have the second lowest sacks in the league when the offense lines 2 tight ends up in the formation(as the pats do 74% of the time…..Giants will be lucky to sack Brady more then once…. Pats by 10……Also for all u Bob oliver fan,might all these games be fixed?the new american century and our global conquest depends alot on the sheep back at home having red white and blue and the word “Patriot”shoved into a positive framwork in our minds al a positive or “winning”thing…I think the pats winning the superbowl after 9/11 was the first clue.

  5. Ken says:

    I believe a potentially exciting game was tainted and ruined by the refs on the Patriots first play of the game when Brady’s first pass, a deep long pass down the middle, was deemed as a safety? That basically won the game for the Giants as it skewed the scoring pattern for the whole game. Why can’t a quarterback throw the ball deep… without getting penalized with a safety or yardage… yet a quarterback can snap the ball and immediately throw the ball into the ground at a center’s feet… and he does not get penalized for that obvious pass to no one ?!?… Not even an intentional grounding penalty! Personally, I will stick with hockey, the guys get to beat the crap out of each other and whoever puts the black hard puck in the net most WINS!!!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *